Future Trends and US National SecurityeBook - 2015
The environment surrounding US national security is complex and ever-evolving. As the world changes, the challenge becomes recognizing and bringing research to bear on these emerging trends. As the new trends emerge, some clearly signal threats to US security while others preview opportunities to enhance US national security. Identification, evaluation, and analysis of these trends are essential if security professionals are to be prepared for an uncertain future. The case studies in this book provide discussion and debate fodder for those interested in preparing for that uncertain future. The study of the future involves many different tools and techniques; selected futures research methods are employed in this volume. Scenario planning techniques analyzed and evaluated some cases. One case uses relevance trees to illuminate connections, linkages, and critical relationships. Other case studies relied upon classic problem-solution methods to investigate new potential national security dilemmas. The sheer complexity of the emerging trends makes reliance on and application of one method untenable and unreliable. As a result, multiple methods have been utilized successfully to expose the inherent multifaceted characteristics of these entirely plausible futures.
Publisher: Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama : Air University Press, Air Force Research Institute, 2015.
Characteristics: 1 online resource (xii, 288 pages) : illustrations, (some color), maps
Alternative Title: Future trends and United States national security